What is turning into one of the great night Auto Racing events this decade, the Las Vegas Grand Prix, is the third of three Formula One races held in the United States each season after the Miami Grand Prix in May and the United States Grand Prix in October in Austin, Texas.
The 2025 Las Vegas Grand Prix weekend will be held on The Strip in Sin City from Thursday to Saturday night when the big race will run under the neon lights of Las Vegas Boulevard (ESPN, 10:55 EST/7:55 PST)
Auto Racing traders at Polymarket have a number of markets available involving the Las Vegas Grand Prix 2025 weekend including Pole Position, Fastest Lap, Practice 2 Fastest Lap, Practice 3 Fastest Lap, and of course, Las Vegas Grand Prix: Driver Winner.
Traders are backing three-time defending champion and Red Bull Racing’s Max Verstappen (37%) to win the on the Las Vegas Strip Street Circuit followed by points leader Lando Norris (26%), George Russell (18%), Oscar Piastri (10%), and Andrea-Kimi Antonelli (6%).
Las Vegas Grand Prix: Driver Winner
The speedy skinny: There will be just two races left after Las Vegas, and Verstappen (341 points) doesn’t have the chance to catch points-leader Norris (390) although his McLaren teammate Piastri (366) possibly can.
This will be the third running of the Las Vegas Grand Prix in Paradise, Nevada and living legend Verstappen won the checkered flag in the inaugural race in 2023. Last year, it was George Russell (Mercedes) who held off teammate Lewis Hamilton to win with Carlos Sainz Jr (Ferrari) in third.
There will still be much at stake in this one, and expect the usual suspects—Verstappen, Norris, Piastri, and Russell—to battle it out here in the city that never sleeps and where there are no clocks on the casino walls. Can Dutchman Verstappen or Brit Russell get their second win here?
I think so, because Norris and Piastri have a decent cushion in the standings and the winner can gain only 25 points in the standings. Trading on Verstappen and Russell “Yes” (to win LV GP) at 38¢ and 17¢ respectively seems like a good idea. Verstappen won’t be going down without a fight.
Myriad Markets Offers “Pump or Dump” Crypto Markets
Web3 protocol Myriad Markets has fun cryptocurrency trading involving Bitcoin and Ether with Bitcoin’s Next Move: Pump to $115K or Dump to $85K? and Ethereum Next Move: Pump to $4K or Dump to $2.5K? trading on the predicted directions of the two most popular cryptocurrencies.
As of Thursday, November 20, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $90,801.93 while Ether (ETH) was at $2,971.61. The recent bearish downturn in crypto values in the have again made investors realize it’s not always only blue skies with these Coca-Cola’s and Pepsi’s of crypto.
Pump to $115k ?
This market could provide some hedging opportunities and protection for BTC or ETC holders, but the volume here is considerably less than at Polymarket and Kalshi but it seems relatively liquid with more than $85,000 in volume.
Bitcoin climbing back to $115,000 in “a pump” was being given a 32.3% chance by traders at Myriad Markets—a decentralized prediction market platform which uses the native token MYR—with 67.7% thinking “the dump” is more likely and a further fall to $85,000.
>A simple approach: Bitcoin always seems to rise and fall in distinct cycles, and with the economy not falling apart and the Trump Administration talking about creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve, trading on BTC getting back to the $115k level, gambling “Yes” contracts now makes most sense.
Is Polymarket vs. Kalshi Like Choosing a Favorite Child?
First it was King Kong vs Godzilla, then Barcelona vs Real Madrid, Muhammad Ali vs Joe Frazier, The Beatles vs The Rolling Stones, McDonald’s vs Burger King, paper vs plastic, Coca-Cola vs Pepsi, Microsoft vs Apple, Backstreet Boys vs NSYNC, and then it was Drake vs Kendrick Lamar.
Now? Now, much like DraftKings and FanDuel in legal online sports gambling, it’s the prediction market goliaths Polymarket and Kalshi who are all the rage as trading on Yes-No outcomes or winning results has stepped up to the plate for those who prefer these unique exchanges.
At Myriad Markets, there is a fun, fake trading market called Polymarket or Kalshi? simply published to gauge the public’s feelings about the two titans—or at least the traders at Myriad.
Polymarket/Kalshi
Polymarket (67%) had doubled up at Kalshi (33%) at press time, but nobody has anything to lose (or gain) in this one and Kalshi has the last last laugh for now with Polymarket still waiting to relaunch in the US and Kalshi reaping profits in the heart of the sports equinox when all four major sports were in action.
The market was created to “gauge social sentiment” and will never be resolved to either option. Myriad Markets charges no trading fees for this rhetorical question which asks traders to evaluate the product, teams, overall experience, and the markets themselves at Polymarket and Kalshi.
The two prediction markets have different relations with blockchain with Polymarket employing a Layer-2 scaling solution for Ethereum on the Polygon network. Polymarket transactions are made using the stablecoin USDC, which is pegged to the US dollar. Kalshi is not fully on the blockchain.
Traders: Wicked: For Good to Catch A Minecraft Movie
Traders at Polymarket in the Culture library of the prediction market exchange in the Highest Grossing Movie in 2025? listing are tabbing “Wicked For Good” (56%) to be the king of the box office this year followed by “Zootopia” (20%) and “A Minecraft Movie” (17%).
This is an interesting category as the two current (November 15) highest-grossing domestic films in the US are “A Minecraft Movie” ($423,949,195) and “Lilo & Stitch" ($423,778,855). The favorite, “Wicked: For Good” comes out today (November 21) and starts this holiday race at $0.
Highest grossing movie in 2025?
Rounding out the top 10 at the box office this year with seven weeks left in 2025 are “Superman,” “The Fantastic Four: First Steps,” “How to Train Your Dragon,” “Captain America: Brave New World,” “Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning,” and "Thunderbolts."
The volume ($69,904,151) in this market is amazing and a testament to the popularity of prediction markets and remember this is from Polymarket—not even operating in the US in 2025.
For context, the highest value of any franchise in the USL (Charleston Battery) is $5.71 million.
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Total Number of TSA Passengers From November 23-30?
The week of Thanksgiving is traditionally a very-heavily traveled period each calendar year in the US and Polymarket has a fun Yes-No outcome with (What Will be the Total) Number of TSA passengers November 23-30?
The contracts traders are backing most are the 20-22 million range (62%), followed by 18-20 million (26%), 22-24 million (11%), 24-26 million (2%), and <18 million (<1%). This year Thanksgiving will be on Thursday, November 29.
TSA
What were the numbers on Thanksgiving week last year? A record 18.07 million traveled last Thanksgiving week (November 26-December 2, 2024), a 6% increase compared to 2023. The Sunday after Thanksgiving last year was the single busiest travel day with over 3 million in transit.
This year, if the traders are right, the US will set a new record and possibly eclipse the 20 million TSA passengers mark this Thanksgiving week. The end of the government shutdown and the restoration of SNAP benefits will definitely allow more people to make plans like previous years.
2026 Grammy Awards Best Rap Album Winner
The leader in the clubhouse for the Best Rap Album at the 2026 Grammy Awards is Kendrick Lamar for GNX, the sixth studio album from the Los Angeles rapper who played the halftime of the Super Bowl last year.
Put out by PGLang and Innerscope, GNX was a surprise-reslease on November 22, 2024 and featured guest appearances from other talents like SZA, Roddy Ricch, Dody6, Wallie the sensei, AzChike, Hitta J3, Lefty Gunplay, Peysoh, and YoungThreat.
The album’s song “squabble up” debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 with “Luther,” “TV Off,” “Wacced Out Murals”, and “Hey Now” all charting in the Hot 100’s top five that week.
Best Rap Album
Traders at Kalshi in the Grammy Award For Best Rap Album? market are backing Kendrick Lamar’s GNX (65%) to win the award, followed by Clipse, Pusha T & Malice’s Let God Sort Em Out (27%), and Tyler, the Creator’s CHROMAKOPIA (8%). Lamar will be very hard to beat in this one.
Last year, the Grammy Award for the Best Rap Album went to Killer Mike for MICHAEL and the Aamerican raper also won the Best Rap Song as well as the Best Rap Performance for "Scientists & Engineers" at the 66th Annual Grammy Awards.
Where and when to watch the 67th Grammy Awards: The show will air live on Sunday, February 1 from Crypto.com Auditorium in Los Angeles, California (CBS, Paramount+, 8 EST/7 CST/5 PST).
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Will Lionel Messi Leave MLS and Join Galatasaray? No.
One of the best players in the history of Soccer, Lionel Messi, is currently playing here in the US for Inter Miami CF in Major League Soccer (MLS) and they participate in the MLS Eastern Conference Semifinals, and when this season ends, a professional club from Turkey would like to sign Messi.
Galatasaray SK of the Turkish Süper Lig have reportedly offered the 38-year-old Argentinian superstar if he would like to sign for the club on a 4-month loan deal so he can keep himself for the upcoming 2026 World Cup.
Messi
“You can’t live without dreaming. Will we one day see Messi wearing the Galatasaray shirt? Galatasaray’s greatest success lies in its signings,” said Gala president Dursun Özbek about the offer to bring the creative midfielder to Istanbul.
>So Will Messi Join Galatasaray? Kalshi traders are only giving the Cimbom a 6% chance (Yes 14¢, No 95¢) of singing the Argentinian legend, so the wisdom of the masses is hinting at Messi more likely getting some rest after the MLS season ends and before the 2026 World Cup kicks off.
Can the Thunder Repeat as Western Conference Winners?
The defending NBA champion Oklahoma City calls the Western Conference home and many are talking about this deep team having a dynasty after finally winning the NBA title last year around that wonderful young nucleus of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, and Jalen Williams.
Looking at the Western Conference Champion? market at Kalshi, the Thunder (46%) are the team traders see as the one to beat in this loaded conference with legends like LeBron James, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Anthony Davis, Russell Westbrook, Chris Paul, and Kawhi Leonard.
Following OKC in trading order are the Nuggets (18%), Rockets (11%), Lakers (10%), Warriors (6%),Timberwolves (6%), Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs (4%), Clippers (3%), and rookie from Duke and 2025 NBA Draft No. 1 pick Cooper Flagg and the Mavericks (<1%).
NBA
Some dribble for NBA traders: Like many futures markets, using a process of elimination is a great way to determine trades, and this NBA Western Conference champion exchange is no different. Looking at who won the conference the last 10 years won’t help. We know who can win.
The big thing about winning the NBA championship is being able to have the stamina, depth, and to avoid injuries. These older teams just can’t compete with the Thunder over a potential 7-game series. This team is too young, too strong, and can get scoring from a number of players.
But who can threaten OKC (12-1) and may have some value at this early point in the 2025-26 NBA Regular Season? The Warriors (8-6) added Al Horford and have Jimmy Butler and Jonathan Kuminga to help Draymond and Steph. And with elite HC Steve Kerr, at 7¢ seems worth a shot.
NHL Western Conference Champion a Two-Team Market?
Last year, Conor McDavid and the Edmonton Oilers won the Western Conference for a second straight season, only to lose to the Florida Panthers in the Stanley Cup Finals for a second straight season, depriving Canada of yet another sip of sweet champagne for Lord Stanley’s Cup.
NHL traders at Polymarket like the chances for the Avalanche to get to the Stanley Cup, giving Colorado a 27% chance of surviving the conference against the likes of Jack Eichel and the Golden Knights (19%), Oilers (18%), Stars (15%), Jets (10%), and the newly-named Utah Mammoth (8%).
NHL
Traders are less optimistic about the Western Conference chances of the Kings (8%), Wild (5%), Ducks (5%), Blues (3%), Canucks (3%), Kraken (2%), Predators (2%), Connor Bedard and the Blackhawks (2%), Sharks (1%), and Flames (1%).
💼Western Conference Champion data-mining: Looking at the last 10 seasons, the team coming out of this conference has either been the Oilers (2), Avalanche, VGK, or Stars since the COVID-19 pandemic after five different teams won the competitive conference from 2016 to 2020.
Expect 2026 to be the same, and it seems Nathan MacKinnon and Colorado and Leon Draisitil and Edmonton will most likely be meeting in the Western Conference Finals come Spring. Locking in on both the Avs (Yes 29¢) and Oilers (Yes 18¢) is the best long-term approach in this NHL market.
NHL
Nice Faces Marseille in French Ligue 1 Match on Friday
French Ligue 1 action returns this weekend after the international break and sees two teams in the top of the table facing off when Sofiane Diop (6 goals) and Nice (5-2-5) welcome Marseille (8-1-3) to the Allianz Riviera (Grass) on Friday (2:45 EST/11:45 PST).
Nice heads in with -1 goal differential while Marseille is at +11 and have allowed only 11 goals against as they continue to chase Paris Saint-Germain for first place. With Mason Greenway (8 goals), Robino Vaz (4 goals), and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (4 goals), OM can score goals.
Ligue 1 traders at Kalshi are investing in Marseille (51%) to win this Mediterranean Derby in 90 minutes plus stoppage time with host Nice getting 26% support and a Tie (Draw) at 26%.
Nice vs Marseille Outcome trading tidbits: Marseille is 26-8-14 lifetime vs Nice in the Mediterranean Derby but lost the last meeting, 2-0 on January 26, 2025. With Nice having lost its last three in all competitions and OM fighting for first place, I like the visitors here.
Getting Marseille (Yes to win outcome) at 51¢ seems worth the risk (No 51¢) because of that aforementioned goal differential statistic. With Greenway, Vaz, Aubameyang, and Angel Gomes (3 goals) on its attack, Marseille can score while Nice has only 2 goals in 3 matches in November.
#16 GT Hosts #22 Pitt in Huge ACC Clash on Saturday
The ACC is up for grabs with four teams with just one conference loss, two who will be meeting in NCAAF Week 13 when No. 22 Pitt (7-3, 5-1 ACC) heads to Bobby Dowd Stadium (Shaw Legion NXT Synthetic Turf) in Atlanta to face No. Georgia Tech (8-1, 5-1 ACC) on Saturday (7 EST/4 PST).
In Week 12, Notre Dame pounded Pittsburgh, winning easily, 37-15 for its eighth straight win while Georgia Tech—the highest-ranked ACC team in the 2025 CFP Rankings—while the Ramblin’ Wreck of Georgia Tech rallied to beat lowly Boston College (1-10, 0-7 ACC), 38-36 in Boston.
College Football traders at Kalshi like the Yellowjackets to prevail at home at The Flats with 55% backing QB Haynes King and Georgia Tech in this one with 45% on Pitt. The Point Spread sees Georgia Tech -2.5 with the Total at 52.5 (Over “Yes” 50¢).
Pitt at Georgia Tech Stats and Trends for traders: Lifetime, Pitt is 11-6-0 vs Georgia Tech and Panthers Head Coach Pat Narduzzi is 6-2 lifetime vs the Yellowjackets. The Panthers won four straight (2018-2021) before losing the last meeting, 26-21 at Pittsburgh in 2022.
This game will have huge implications for CFP berths as well as the ACC Championship Game with some thinking the ACC doesn’t deserve a CFP slot. The top two schools in the standings will meet in the ACC Championship Game at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC on December 6.
ACC
Bengals Hosting Patriots in Must-Win Spot on Sunday
The Joe Burrow-less Bengals (3-7-0) welcome Drake Maye and the upstart Patriots (9-2-0) to Paycor Stadium (Shaw Sports Momentum Pro) in Cincinnati for this NFL Week 12 AFC encounter in Sunday (CBS, 1 EST/10 PST) more important to the hosts who can call it a season if they lose.
In Week 11, New England grounded the Jets in an AFC East meeting on Thursday Night Football, 27-14, winning its 8th straight game as Maye threw for 281 yards and TeyVon Henderson scored 3 TDs while Cincinnati were rolled by the Steelers in an AFC North game in the Steel City on Sunday.
NFL traders in the Kalshi are supporting the visiting Patriots being given a 73% chance to win over and the Bengals (27%) in a game the prediction market has made the Patriots 6.5-point favorites with the Total at (Over) 50.5 (Yes 53¢, No 51¢).
New England at Cincinnati
New England at Cincinnati Game Winner trading tidbits: There are many reasons to like the Patriots: NE has the inside track for the AFC Playoffs homefield advantage and won’t want to give that up and this team is a perfect 5-0 on the road and has won 8 straight games. Strong stuff.
Lifetime in this AFC series, the Patriots are 18-10-0 against the Bengals while in the last 10 series meetings, New England has gone an impressive 8-2-0, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings in the Queen City, including last year, 16-10. Toss in no Burrow, and the Patriots are the logical approach.
